Foresight dialogue Brasília 2030:

Integration of public policies in the territory

Authors

  • Marcelo Souza de Jesus Fundação Oswaldo Cruz Brasília, Brasília, Brasil
  • Edward Torres Maia Fundação Oswaldo Cruz Brasília, Brasília, Brasil
  • Gabriel Maia Veloso Fundação Oswaldo Cruz Brasília, Brasília, Brasil
  • Marcio Aldrin Franca Cavalcante Fundação Oswaldo Cruz Brasília, Brasília, Brasil
  • Waldir Campelo da Silva Fundação Oswaldo Cruz Brasília, Brasília, Brasil
  • Wagner de Jesus Martins Fundação Oswaldo Cruz Brasília, Brasília, Brasil

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.51723/ccs.v28i02.229

Keywords:

Prospective Dialogues, Social Networks, Scenarios

Abstract

Objective: To present scenarios for 2030 fomented in the workshop of Prospective Dialogues during the II ERSL‑DF on the future of the Federal District.
Method: The study is descriptive exploratory nature with use of methodology of territorial prospective, which is widely used by the Nucleus of Future of the University of Brasília and Fiocruz Brasília. In the workshop, the debate was held on the future of Brasília with the articulation and dialogue between local government actors and civil society, organized in the form of a socio‑technical network. The information is originated by data collected in the territories in diverse ways, being systematized and analyzed for the generation of intelligence feeding the actions of the actors of the Social Game.
Results: The discussion process generated five possible scenarios for 2030 in the territory of Brasília. You can only succeed in your “governance” if public policy decision‑making considers the recommendations generated by socio‑technical participation in ERSL‑ DF II, taking advantage of opportunities and removing threats. Another important point to be made is that the participatory nature of the prospective exercise, since the beginning of the process, has enabled an integrated coordination effort with consistency and credibility to achieve the desired results.
Conclusion: The Future Intelligence method is a process of systematically monitoring the situation of a territory aimed at guiding the actions as a focus the future vision shared by the group. For that, it is necessary that the monitoring of the hypotheses that compose the scenarios, is done using the databases systematized by the public policies, in them we will find part of the social reality. From these data, one can have a basket of indicators that helps to measure the situation at each moment. It should be considered that the Government of the Federal District is a member of the “Open Government” movement and has made it possible to open its data to promote transparency in public management. The future hypotheses are questions to be answered by scientific research, allowing, thus, to generate greater impact if counting on the crossing of data of different natures to generate indicators. This work has provided a reflection on the forces that shape the long term and that strongly interfere in policies, planning and decision making.

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Author Biographies

  • Marcelo Souza de Jesus, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz Brasília, Brasília, Brasil

    Núcleo de Inteligência de Futuro (NIF) do Colaboratório em Ciência, Tecnologia e Sociedade da Fiocruz Brasília.

  • Edward Torres Maia, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz Brasília, Brasília, Brasil

    Núcleo de Inteligência de Futuro (NIF) do Colaboratório em Ciência, Tecnologia e Sociedade da Fiocruz Brasília

  • Gabriel Maia Veloso, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz Brasília, Brasília, Brasil

    Núcleo de Inteligência de Futuro (NIF) do Colaboratório em Ciência, Tecnologia e Sociedade da Fiocruz Brasília

  • Marcio Aldrin Franca Cavalcante, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz Brasília, Brasília, Brasil

    Núcleo de Inteligência de Futuro (NIF) do Colaboratório em Ciência, Tecnologia e Sociedade da Fiocruz Brasília

  • Waldir Campelo da Silva, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz Brasília, Brasília, Brasil

    Núcleo de Inteligência de Futuro (NIF) do Colaboratório em Ciência, Tecnologia e Sociedade da Fiocruz Brasília

  • Wagner de Jesus Martins, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz Brasília, Brasília, Brasil

    Núcleo de Inteligencia de Futuro (NIF) do Colaboratório em Ciência, Tecnologia e Sociedade da Fiocruz Brasília

References

1. Foren ‑ Foresight for Regional Development Network. A Practical Guide to Regional Foresight. European Communities, p. 132, 2001.
2. Godet, M. Introduction to la prospective: se‑ ven key ideas and one scenario method. Futures, Amsterdam, p. 134‑157,1986.
3. Godet, M. “A caixa de ferramentas” da prospectiva estratégica. Caderno n. 5. Lisboa: Centro de Estudos de Prospectiva e Estratégia, 2000.
4. Polacinski, Édio, Prospectiva estratégica de Godet [tese]: processo de aplicação para arranjos produtivos locais/Édio Polacinski; orientadora, Aline França de Abreu. ‑ Florianópolis, SC, p.437 2011.
5. Redes Sociais Locais do DF. II Encontro de Redes Sociais Locais do DF. Disponível em: http://ii‑en‑ contro‑de‑redes‑sociais‑locais‑do‑df.webnode.com/. Acesso 16/nov/2017.

Published

2018-06-26

Issue

Section

Saúde Coletiva

How to Cite

1.
Foresight dialogue Brasília 2030:: Integration of public policies in the territory. Com. Ciências Saúde [Internet]. 2018 Jun. 26 [cited 2024 Nov. 20];28(02):198-204. Available from: https://revistaccs.espdf.fepecs.edu.br/index.php/comunicacaoemcienciasdasaude/article/view/229

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